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Industry
Insight from Fred Barstein
September Opportunity Index
Good for Experienced Advisors
As Charles Dickens once penned, “It was the best of
times, it was the worst of times…it was the spring of
hope, it was the winter of despair.”
Coming into the start of the selling season, the
September 2009 401kExchange
Opportunity
Index¹ for record keepers declined to its lowest
level of the year dipping below 2% for all markets.
Meanwhile almost 13% of all plans are looking to
change their advisor, which is the highest level of the
year. More
plans than ever are using an advisor, and of those
without one almost 12% are thinking of adding one.
Newer DC Investment Only firms continue to see
great opportunities, as advisors and sponsors who are
still upset with the performance of their existing funds
look for alternatives.
National record keepers who are not firmly entrenched in
their market segment and have high cost structures not
spread across a rich book must either grow or go with
growth most likely coming through acquisitions.
Even with the extremely robust opportunities for
experienced advisors, they should not become complacent
especially when it comes to pricing.
Though it is not recommended to sell on price
alone, plan sponsors are very concerned about costs
particularly with all of the regulatory activity and
press about fees.
Advisors looking to charge new plans the same as
they have charged in the past, above all in the Mid &
Large Markets (over $10 million), could be in for a rude
awakening.
In a fluid market like this one, a new breed of smart
and nimble advisors who are willing to take less, while
maintaining profitability is emerging.
Though there remains much confusion in the DC
market over retail and institutional fees and
activities, the strictly institutional advisors should
consider proactively protecting their book of business
and coming up with a different pricing paradigm for new
business.
¹ Percentage of plans that indicate they are
currently searching or thinking of changing
providers


|
MICRO MARKET (<$1 MILLION) YTD
|
|
YEAR
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2009
|
|
% PLANS IN PLAY
|
7.16%
|
6.06%
|
4.61%
|
2.61%
|
|
# PLANS IN PLAY
|
21,142
|
17,898
|
13,609
|
7,717
|
|
Inc/Dec Prev. Yr (%)
|
-29.8%
|
-15.3%
|
-24.0%
|
-43.3%
|
|
SMALL MARKET ($1-$10 MILLION) YTD
|
|
YEAR
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2009
|
|
% PLANS IN PLAY
|
7.20%
|
5.13%
|
4.19%
|
2.27%
|
|
# PLANS IN PLAY
|
5,212
|
3,715
|
3,035
|
1,646
|
|
Inc/Dec Prev. Yr (%)
|
-26.6%
|
-28.7%
|
-18.3%
|
-45.8%
|
|
MID MARKET ($10-$100 MILLION) YTD
|
|
YEAR
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2009
|
|
% PLANS IN PLAY
|
7.61%
|
5.64%
|
4.42%
|
2.33%
|
|
# PLANS IN PLAY
|
752
|
558
|
437
|
230
|
|
Inc/Dec Prev. Yr (%)
|
4.37%
|
5.01%
|
3.96%
|
2.24%
|
|
LARGE MARKET ($100 MILLION-$1 BILLION)
|
|
YEAR
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2009
|
|
% PLANS IN PLAY
|
4.37%
|
5.01%
|
3.96%
|
2.24%
|
|
# PLANS IN PLAY
|
85
|
98
|
77
|
44
|
|
Inc/Dec Prev. Yr (%)
|
-62.3%
|
14.7%
|
-20.9%
|
-43.6%
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