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SEPTEMBER 2, 2009

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Industry Insight from Fred Barstein
August 2009 401kExchange Opportunity Index Robust for Advisors and Asset Managers

 

Continuing the downward trend for record keeper change, the August 2009 401kExchange Opportunity Index¹ was below 3% for all markets and at historical lows YTD.  On the other hand, opportunities for advisors are booming at the highest level for the year with 11.46% of advised plans looking for a new advisor.  Over 81% of plans with under $100 million are using an advisor, which is close to annual highs and 4% above August 2008.  Of those plans not using an advisor, 14.51% are thinking of adding one.  This is by far the most we have seen since the tracking began this year.  The opportunity for asset managers remains good with 5.57% of plans looking to add or change funds.

 

Clearly, the 401(k) and defined contribution markets are going through a monumental shift.  Plan sponsors are viewing their record keeper or platform as a utility with little reason or incentive to change unless the service or technology deteriorates significantly.  Because the percentage of plans with inexperienced blind squirrel advisors is close to 80% (especially with plans under $10 million), the opportunities for experienced retirement advisors are robust.  In addition,, sponsors are recognizing that advisors, not platforms, make the difference.  Beyond limiting work, liability, and costs for sponsors, advisors are being tasked with helping participants to be more successful with their corporate retirement plan which should result in higher income replacement.  While investments certainly play a key role and are clearly more of a factor than the platforms, it is the advisor who sponsors rightly believe can make the difference.  And rather than spend time changing out a record keeper that even if not great, is doing well, successful advisors are focused on more important matters that can move the needle for the participants.

 

¹ Percentage of plans that indicate they are currently searching or thinking of changing providers

 

 

 

 

 

MICRO MARKET (<$1 MILLION) YTD

YEAR

2006

2007

2008

2009

% PLANS IN PLAY

7.07%

6.22%

4.61%

2.64%

# PLANS IN PLAY

18,559

16,322

12,089

6,921

Inc/Dec Prev. Yr (%)

-30.4%

-12.1%

-25.9%

-42.7%

SMALL MARKET ($1-$10 MILLION) YTD

YEAR

2006

2007

2008

2009

% PLANS IN PLAY

7.24%

5.27%

4.23%

2.34%

# PLANS IN PLAY

4,661

3,393

2,725

1,509

Inc/Dec Prev. Yr (%)

-24.9%

-27.2%

-19.7%

-44.6%

MID MARKET ($10-$100 MILLION) YTD

YEAR

2006

2007

2008

2009

% PLANS IN PLAY

7.45%

5.68%

4.19%

2.38%

# PLANS IN PLAY

655

499

368

209

Inc/Dec Prev. Yr (%)

-42.5%

-23.8%

-26.2%

-43.2%

LARGE MARKET ($100 MILLION-$1 BILLION)

YEAR

2006

2007

2008

2009

% PLANS IN PLAY

4.18%

5.54%

3.79%

1.72%

# PLANS IN PLAY

72

96

66

30

Inc/Dec Prev. Yr (%)

-66.3%

32.7%

-31.6%

-54.5%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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