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MARCH 25, 2009

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Industry Insight from Fred Barstein
The Problem with Target Date Funds

THE 401(k) INDUSTRY and everyone associated with it are not the only ones looking for easy answers to today’s complex problems.  We seem to have moved full circle from stable value to proprietary mutual fund platforms to open menus to proprietary target date funds with the promise that each solution would lead to nirvana.  In a market that perhaps no one except a Bill Gross could have predicted, everyone is now searching for the elusive guaranteed income solution in and outside the 401(k) plan.  So what is the right answer? 

Before we can come to a quick answer, it’s important to be sure that we are asking the right questions and that we understand the problems with the answers we had thought were right.  Proprietary target date funds, especially some 2010 funds, have proven to be flawed.  At a recent industry conference, the head of one of the large proprietary target providers was asked how the 2010 funds could have performed so poorly and what could be done in the future to make sure we do not suffer the same problems again.  The high level executive said that 2010 funds are not designed to have the investor take all the money out in 2010 because, historically, many investors left the money in the fund.  Another target date provider claimed that it was not their fault because they did not expect bonds to perform so badly.  Everyone realizes that money managers make more money from equities which is certainly no excuse for heavily investing participants in the market with little time to recover.

Left to their own devices, participants have little chance of making the right investment decisions regardless of the quantity or quality of education.  On line tools have mostly failed.  Target date funds are crude though efficient way to manage money but, as we have learned, they can put the manager’s interest at odds with the investor’s.  Putting all the money in stable value and money market is not right for the vast majority of people.  And though guaranteed income for all sounds great, is it realistic?  So far, the answer has been no with the collapse of many underwriters and poor adoption rates.

For advisors, the 401(k) market has moved from selecting the right product to instituting the right process to focusing on the right outcome.  While record keepers and money managers provide the tools and ingredients for a happy outcome, it’s the advisors who are the chefs.  Even in an era of heightened concern about fees, we need to realize that if advisors perform retail tasks, they should be paid retail like fees.  Otherwise, every gets served lumpy mush and no one is happy, especially many of the 2010 investors who thought they were making safe bets.  If nothing else, the recent 2010 fiasco shows that target date funds do not make advisors obsolete as many target date providers would have had us believe, many of them direct sold providers, coincidently.

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